Posted on May 15, 2008 by newrisks
russian-foreign-policy-toward-the-balkans
Here is the final version of my part of the project on Russia. I hope to be able to publish here the team’s final report, which includes an analysis of competing hypotheses on Russian Reorganization of the Civilian Nuclear Energy Sector, a cost benefit analysis of Russia – Ukraine energy security relations, and a social [...]
Filed under: 17th century Dutch Art, Alternative Analysis, Art, Balkans, Cartography, Cognitive Science, Culture, Energy, Intelligence, Intelligence Methodology, Language, Myth, OSINT, Power, Russia, Still Life | Leave a Comment »
Posted on May 10, 2008 by newrisks
I’m having so much fun writing this! The final product should be ready by Wednesday. Last minute comments welcome as always.
Russian Foreign Policy toward the Balkans: A Situation Assessment
Introduction
Situation assessment as a methodology aims to provide the context for strategic planning, decision-making and action. As such, it is primarily a descriptive methodology that examines events [...]
Filed under: 17th century Dutch Art, Alternative Analysis, Art, Balkans, Intelligence, Intelligence Methodology, Power, Russia, Still Life | 1 Comment »
Posted on May 4, 2008 by newrisks
In my daily work, I hear the phrase “strategic planning” with such frequency that it has become by now a signal for “switching off”, i.e. stop paying attention…here we go again…not another strategy…and not the same strategy with different words, please! What a relief to read something actually intelligently written, like Conway’s article “Scenario Planning: [...]
Filed under: Balkans, Forecasting, Intelligence Methodology, Knowledge Management, Scenario Planning, Uncertainty | 3 Comments »
Posted on March 19, 2008 by newrisks
I’ve just started the last course of the Mercyhurst Applied Intelligence Analysis Program, which deals with the application of various structured methodologies to the analysis process. I’ve had to select a particular technique to work for in the following 2 months in relations to a topic that is of national security concern.
My chosen [...]
Filed under: Balkans, Collaboration, OSINT, Russia | Leave a Comment »
Posted on March 19, 2008 by newrisks
The first month of independence has mostly gone well, but violence in Mitrovica yesterday shows that the opponents of independence can still threaten the new state and that there is a risk that Serbian-inspired partition will harden and Kosovo become a frozen conflict.
This, and more in International Crisis Group briefing from Pristina.
Also of interest on [...]
Filed under: Balkans, News/Current Affairs | Leave a Comment »