WEF is convening its annual session in Davos next week (24-26Jan), and have just put online their 2008 risk assessment report, which covers the topics that will be discussed at the various panels.
The report is very interesting, not least because of the 2nd appendix, which features a table of predicted risks and their likelihood and [...]
Filed under: Business Intelligence, Complexity, Forecasting, Risk | 3 Comments »
For some time now I have had a second-hand exposure to Black Swan theory but this weekend I came face-to-face with Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s brilliant writing – a most hedonistic Saturday and Sunday, when uninterrupted by worldly social or work distractions, save a short school assignment, I read Taleb’s The Black Swan cover to cover.
“Erudite” [...]
Filed under: Black Swan, Chance, Complexity, Forecasting, Risk | Leave a Comment »
